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RE: Don't Be Soft On Microsoft (fwd)
The reason why I think Microsoft is so successful now is simply because the computer and software industry is a "Tornado market". A tornado market is a market that won't stop growing, where demand for developers is conststantly higher than the supply. What it means in human terms is that there is still a global shortage of programmers, there's too much programming work to do and too few who can do it right.
Microsoft can survive this way, because there still aren't too many programmers available for developing alternative OSes that it offers. However, once the software market will stop growing and come to a "revaya"
more companies will spring with their own operating systems or OS flavours, in order to battle the no-longer drastically increasing market. That way, I doubt if Microsoft will be able to dominate the market as it does now.
Obviously, the "revaya" would have it down sides: some programmers will find themselves unemployed.
Shlomi Fish
P.S: I recently read an article in the "Mamon" of a weekend "Yedioth" in which, a "Futurist" claims that in the long run there will be very few programmers because everything new will be programmed using special programs that code other programs. With all due respect, I haven't seen anything that comes close to that vision (except maybe DB platforms as Delphi, Visual Basic, etc.. in a _very_ limited way). Does anybody else think something like that will eventually happen?
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